Friday, March 27, 2020

BTU Analytics - Will Storage Constraints Lead to Oil Shut-ins?

With India as the latest country to announce shelter-in-place restrictions to combat the spread of COVID-19, BTU Analytics has estimated the 2Q 2020 impact of COVID-19 will be lower global liquids demand by an average of 8.6 MMb/d. This virtually overnight destruction of demand, coupled with the unraveling of coordinated production cuts from Saudi, Russia, and other OPEC nations has sent crude prices spiraling into the $20/bbl range from above $60/bbl at the start of 2020. Even as the industry slashes budgets and furloughs completion crews, the question remains, will it be enough? What does it take to offset not only global demand destruction from COVID-19, but also increasing production from Saudi, the UAE, and Russia? Will US producers be forced to shut-in oil production?

https://btuanalytics.com/will-storage-constraints-lead-to-oil-shut-ins/

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